Philadelphia 76ers - Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Philadelphia 76ers – Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

The Philadelphia 76ers (34-15) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-23) Sunday at Wells Fargo Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-76ers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Since March 20, Memphis is 5-3 straight up (SU) and 7-1 against the spread (ATS). The three losses all came against the first-place Utah Jazz and Memphis covered in two of those games.

Philadelphia took down the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-113 last night in C Joel Embiid’s return to action after a 10-game absence due to a knee injury. The Sixers couldn’t cover as 13.5-point favorites.

Memphis beat Philly 106-104 as a 1.5-point home favorite in the first meeting of the season Jan. 16, but Embiid didn’t play.

Grizzlies at 76ers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | 76ers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +4 (-110) | 76ers -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at 76ers: Key injuries
Grizzlies

PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
SF Justise Winslow (quadriceps) out
76ers

C Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
SG George Hill (thumb) out
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Grizzlies at 76ers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Grizzlies 113, 76ers 110

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Money line (ML)
Based on the current price of this game, I’d assume Embiid’s game status is closer to doubtful than questionable, otherwise, Philly would be more expensive here.

Wait until as close to tip-off as possible before making a wager, but GRIZZLIES (+145) is definitely the play if Embiid is out, otherwise just stick with Memphis plus the points.

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Against the spread (ATS)
The most effective part of Embiid’s game is his ability to get to the foul line and he leads the NBA in free-throw attempts per game. In Philly’s win last night over Minnesota, Embiid connected on only 42.9% of his shots but he was 12-for-17 from the charity stripe.

Memphis C Jonas Valančiūnas is in the 96th percentile of bigs for on-off court defensive FT-rate, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, so even if Embiid is playing, he might not get to the line as much as he’s accustomed to.

Finally, the Sixers are second in defensive rating but struggle defensively in transition—last in fast-break points allowed per game—while the Grizzlies lead the Association in fast-break points per game.

Again, hold off on making a bet until closer to game time, but for now I “LIKE” GRIZZLIES +4 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” toward UNDER 226.5 (-110) for a half-unit because my thought is Embiid will not play and the first Grizzlies-76ers game without Embiid went Under the total by 12 points.

Also, the market has steamed this total up from the 224.5-point opener to the current total and I’d rather “fade” the market than follow it in this spot.

Philly played to the Under in seven of its last 10 games and Memphis has gone Under in two straight.

I prefer the Grizzlies +4 (-110) more than the total but if you must, TAKE UNDER 226.5 (-110) for a small wager.

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Dwight Ritchie

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